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	<title>Bet Blogger &#187; Betting systems</title>
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		<title>Reverse Labouchere</title>
		<link>http://www.betblogger.net/2010/07/reverse-labouchere/</link>
		<comments>http://www.betblogger.net/2010/07/reverse-labouchere/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 01 Jul 2010 17:49:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Betting systems]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[betting system]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Labouchère system]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Reverse Labouchere]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.betblogger.net/?p=2765</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Labouchere system can also be played as a positive progression betting system, this is known as playing the reverse Labouchere. In this version after a win, instead of deleting numbers from the line the player adds the previous bet amount to the end of the line. You continue building up your Labouchere line until [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="alignright" title="Betting" src="http://farm1.static.flickr.com/252/460339720_be65ccf267.jpg" alt="" width="302" height="255" />The Labouchere system can also be played as a positive progression betting  system, this is known as playing the reverse Labouchere. In this version after a  win, instead of deleting numbers from the line the player adds the previous bet  amount to the end of the line. You continue building up your Labouchere line  until you hit the table maximum. After a loss, the player deletes the outside  numbers and continues working on the shorter line. The player starts their line  again if they run out numbers to bet.<sup id="cite_ref-1"><a href="#cite_note-1">[1]</a></sup></p>
<p>The Reverse Labouchere system is often used because where the Labouchere list  represents how much the player wants to win, a reverse Labouchere line  represents the most that the player will lose during the betting cycle. It is  with this that a player with a bankroll of x can create their own line, or  lines, representative of the maximum amount that they can sustain in losses.</p>
<p>Additionally, a player does not necessarily have to continue the system until  the table limit is met or exceeded, but could instead pick a single bet that the  player does not wish to exceed and make that bet their own personal limit.</p>
<p>Unlike the Labouchere system which (when adhered to strictly) requires a  winning percentage of at least 33.34% to complete, the winning percentage needed  to complete a Reverse Labouchere line is going to be dependent on both the table  limit (or the maximum single bet a player is willing to make) as well as the  numbers on the initial line in relation to the table limit.</p>
<p>For instance, if a table had a limit of $500 and a player composed a  Labouchere line as follows:</p>
<p>50, 50, 50, 50, 50</p>
<p>Nine consecutive wins (100, 150, 200, 250, 300, 350, 400, 450, 500) would  cause the next bet in the system to exceed the table limit, and thus the line  would be completed with a player profit of $2700.</p>
<p>In contrast, if a player composed a Labouchere line such as:</p>
<p>25, 25, 25, 25, 25</p>
<p>Nineteen consecutive wins (50, 75, 100, 125, 150, 175, 200, 225, 250, 275,  300, 325, 350, 375, 400, 425, 450, 475, 500) would cause the next bet in the  system to exceed the table limit, thus the line would be completed with a player  profit of $5,225.</p>
<p>The length of the line in the Reverse Labouchere system is also important as  it relates to the percentage of wins necessary to complete the system. For  instance, if a line of:</p>
<p>50, 50, 50, 50, 50</p>
<p>Suffers three consecutive losses as soon as the system begins, then the line  is completed and a new line must be started, or the player may choose to quit.</p>
<p>In contrast, if a line of:</p>
<p>50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50</p>
<p>Suffers three consecutive losses, then there are still six numbers remaining  on the list. In the line immediately above, it would take an opening streak of  six consecutive losses for the line to be completed.</p>
<p>All other things remaining the same, the longer a player&#8217;s line, the more the  player is risking losing, however, the longer the player&#8217;s line, the better  winning percentage the casino need have in order to break the player&#8217;s line.</p>
<p>Advocates of this system point out that when a player uses the Labouchere  System, where a streak in the casino&#8217;s favor, or many mini-streaks in the  casino&#8217;s favor, will cause the player to sustain a huge loss, a single streak,  or a few streaks in the player&#8217;s favor using the Reverse Labouchere system will  cause the player to have a huge gain.</p>
<p>A formula that can be used to determine how this system could fail is as  follows:</p>
<p>Where:</p>
<pre>    x = Number of Wins
    y = Number of Losses
    Z = Numbers on original List</pre>
<p>When:</p>
<pre>    x + z ≤ y * 2</pre>
<p>The system has failed, and all numbers on the line are crossed completely  out.</p>
<p>Given an infinite line, the Labouchere System when played by the player  requires a winning percentage of at least 33.34% to complete. In contrast, for  the Reverse Labouchere to fail requires only that the player lose 33.34% of the  time.</p>
<p>Once again, the winning percentage necessary for the system completing to  success depends upon a number of variables.</p>
<h2>References</h2>
<ol>
<li id="cite_note-1"><strong><a href="#cite_ref-1">^</a></strong> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://www.gamblingresearch.org/contentdetail.sz?cid=2096&amp;pageid=753"> Ontario Problem Gambling Research Center</a></li>
</ol>
<p>This article is licensed under the <a href="http://www.gnu.org/copyleft/fdl.html">GNU Free Documentation License</a>.  It uses material from the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/">Wikipedia</a>.</p>
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		<title>Labouchère system</title>
		<link>http://www.betblogger.net/2010/05/labouchere-system/</link>
		<comments>http://www.betblogger.net/2010/05/labouchere-system/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 02 May 2010 18:32:49 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Betting systems]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cancellation system]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[gambling strategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Labouchère system]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[roulette]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Split martingale]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[theory]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.betblogger.net/?p=2694</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The Labouchère system, also called the cancellation system or split martingale, is a gambling strategy used in roulette. The user of such a strategy decides before playing how much money they want to win, and writes down a list of positive numbers that sum to the predetermined amount. With each bet, the player stakes an [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.betblogger.net/wp-content/uploads/2010/05/Roulette-detail.jpg"><img class="alignright size-medium wp-image-2695" title="Roulette-detail" src="http://www.betblogger.net/wp-content/uploads/2010/05/Roulette-detail-300x209.jpg" alt="" width="300" height="209" /></a>The <strong>Labouchère system</strong>, also called the <strong>cancellation system</strong> or <strong>split martingale</strong>, is a gambling strategy used in roulette. The user of  such a strategy decides before playing how much money they want to win, and  writes down a list of positive numbers that sum to the predetermined amount.  With each bet, the player stakes an amount equal to the sum of the first and  last numbers on the list. If only one number remains, that number is the amount  of the stake. If bet is successful, the two amounts are removed from the list.  If the bet is unsuccessful, the amount lost is appended to the end of the list.  This process continues until either the list is completely crossed out, at which  point the desired amount of money has been won, or until the player runs out of  money to wager.<sup id="cite_ref-0"><a href="#cite_note-0">[1]</a></sup></p>
<p>The theory behind this strategy is that since the player is crossing two  numbers off of the list (win) for every number added (loss) that the player can  complete the list, (crossing out all numbers) thereby winning the desired amount  even though the player does not need to win as much as expected for this to  occur.</p>
<p>It should be mentioned that the Labouchere System is meant to be applied to  even money Roulette propositions such as Even/Odd, Red/Black or 1-18/19-36. When  any of these bets are made in the game of Roulette, a spin resulting in a, &#8220;0,&#8221;  or, &#8220;00,&#8221; results in a loss, so even though the payout is even money, the odds  are clearly not 50/50. The Labouchere System attempts to offset these odds.</p>
<p>If a player were to play any one of the above propositions, there are  eighteen individual results which result in a win for that player and twenty  individual results that result in a loss for that player. The player has an  18/38 chance of success betting any of the above propositions, which is around  47.37%.</p>
<p>Theoretically, because the player is canceling out two numbers on the list  for every win, and adding only one number for every loss, the player needs to  have his proposition come at least 33.34% to eventually complete the list. For  example, if the list starts with seven numbers and the player wins five times  and loses three (62.5% winning percentage) the list is completed and the player  wins the desired amount, if the list starts with seven numbers and the player  wins 43,600 times and loses 87,193 times (33.34% winning percentage) the list  completes and the player wins.</p>
<p>A formula to understand this is as follows:</p>
<pre>     Where x = Number of Wins
     y = Number of Losses
     Z = Numbers Originally on the List</pre>
<p>When</p>
<pre>     ( y + z ) / 2 ≤ X</pre>
<p>The result is the list being completed.</p>
<p>Assuming a player bets nothing but black (red/black proposition) and black  can be expected to hit 47.37% of the time, but the system only requires that it  hit 33.34% of the time, it can be said that black only need hit approximately  70.38% of the time (33.34/47.37) it can generally be expected to in order for  the system to prevail.</p>
<p>An obvious downfall to the system is bankroll, because the more losses  sustained by the player, the greater the amount being bet on each turn (as well  as the greater the amount lost overall) is. Consider the following list:</p>
<p>10 10 20 20 20 10 10</p>
<p>If a player were to bet black and lose four times in a row, the amounts bet  would be: $20, $30, $40, and $50. By taking these four consecutive losses, the  player has already lost $140 and is betting $60 more on the next bet.  Consecutive losses, or an inordinate amount of losses to wins can also cause  table limits to come into play.</p>
<p>Occasionally, a player following this system will come to a point where he  can no longer make the next bet as demanded by the system due to table limits.  One work-around for this problem is simply to move to a higher limit table, or a  player can take the next number that should be bet, divide it by two and simply  add it to the list twice. The problem with the latter option is that every time  a player commits such a play, it will infinitesimally increase the percentage of  spins a player must win to complete the system. The reason this is so is because  the player is adding two numbers (which both will be crossed out in the event of  wins) where only one loss was sustained.</p>
<p>To prove this, if a player were to play the Labouchere System the same way  with the exception being that the player always added half of the wager lost to  the bottom of the list twice for every wager lost where:</p>
<pre>    x = Number of Wins
    y = Number of Losses
    Z = Numbers Originally on the List</pre>
<p>When:</p>
<pre>    y + (z/2) ≤ x</pre>
<p>The result is the list being completed.</p>
<p>The player would actually have to win in excess of 50% of the time (the  actual percentage of wins necessary, given x and y, being dependent on z) in  order to complete the list, or more than the player could actually be expected  to win.</p>
<h2>References</h2>
<ol>
<li id="cite_note-0"><strong><a href="#cite_ref-0">^</a></strong> Burrell, Brian. <em>Merriam-Webster&#8217;s Guide to  	Everyday Math</em>. Merriam-Webster.</li>
</ol>
<ul>
<li> <a title="Henk Tijms" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Henk_Tijms">Tijms,  	Henk</a> (2004). &#8220;Probabilities in everyday life&#8221;. <em>Understanding  	probability: chance rules in everyday life</em>. Cambridge University Press.  	pp. 91–93. 	<a title="International Standard Book Number" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_Standard_Book_Number"> ISBN</a> <a title="Special:BookSources/0-521-54036-4" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Special:BookSources/0-521-54036-4">0-521-54036-4</a>.</li>
</ul>
<p>This article is licensed under the <a href="http://www.gnu.org/copyleft/fdl.html">GNU Free Documentation License</a>.  It uses material from the <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/">Wikipedia</a>.</p>
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		<title>Horse racing systems</title>
		<link>http://www.betblogger.net/2010/03/horse-racing-systems/</link>
		<comments>http://www.betblogger.net/2010/03/horse-racing-systems/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 09 Mar 2010 23:45:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Betting systems]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[betting]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[horse racing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[horse racing systems]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Martingale]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[systems]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.betblogger.net/?p=2594</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Horse racing betting systems are based on a number of criteria, some of which include analysis of the horses&#8217; form. Often horse racing systems are based on financial systems such as hedging (betting on multiple outcomes in a race) and arbitrage (lay the horse a low price and back it at a high price). Other [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.betblogger.net/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/Del_Mar_Horse_Racing.jpeg"><img class="alignnone size-medium wp-image-2595" title="Del_Mar_Horse_Racing" src="http://www.betblogger.net/wp-content/uploads/2010/03/Del_Mar_Horse_Racing-300x224.jpg" alt="" width="300" height="224" /></a></p>
<p>Horse racing betting systems are based on a number of criteria, some of which  include analysis of the horses&#8217; form.</p>
<p>Often horse racing systems are based on financial systems such as hedging  (betting on multiple outcomes in a race) and arbitrage (lay the horse a low  price and back it at a high price). Other horse racing systems exist which are  based on items such as horse name, jockey form, trainer form, and lane draw.  Modern horse racing systems can rely on specific betting possibilities only  offered on betting exchanges.</p>
<p>Loss recovery systems such as Martingale can also be applied to horse racing.</p>
<p>This article is licensed under the <a href="http://www.gnu.org/copyleft/fdl.html">GNU Free Documentation License</a>.  It uses material from the <a href="http://www.wikipedia.org/">Wikipedia</a>.</p>
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		<title>Independent events for betting strategies</title>
		<link>http://www.betblogger.net/2010/02/independent-events-for-betting-strategies/</link>
		<comments>http://www.betblogger.net/2010/02/independent-events-for-betting-strategies/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 16 Feb 2010 08:04:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Betting systems]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Anti-martingale]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[betting]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[betting strategies]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Contra d'Alembert]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[d'Alembert]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[independent events]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kelly criterion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Martingale]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Paroli of Three]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Regression]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Split martingale]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.betblogger.net/?p=2532</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The following betting strategies apply to games which operate on independent events. For such games, the odds of a particular outcome are identical for every bet played. No such strategy can beat the house edge (if any) in the long run, and all of them trade off many small wins for a big loss or [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The following betting strategies apply to games which operate on independent  events. For such games, the odds of a particular outcome are identical for every  bet played. No such strategy can beat the house edge (if any) in the long run,  and all of them trade off many small wins for a big loss or vice versa.</p>
<ul>
<li>Martingale &#8211; doubling bet after each loss until a win is achieved (or  	fails when the amount of the bet becomes excessive)</li>
<li>Kelly criterion</li>
<li>Split martingale</li>
<li>Anti-martingale</li>
<li>d&#8217;Alembert</li>
<li>Contra d&#8217;Alembert</li>
<li>Regression</li>
<li>Paroli of Three</li>
</ul>
<p>This article is licensed under the <a href="http://www.gnu.org/copyleft/fdl.html">GNU Free Documentation License</a>.  It uses material from the <a href="http://www.wikipedia.org/">Wikipedia</a>.</p>
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		<title>Betting strategy</title>
		<link>http://www.betblogger.net/2010/01/betting-strategy/</link>
		<comments>http://www.betblogger.net/2010/01/betting-strategy/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 13 Jan 2010 10:44:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>admin</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Betting systems]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[betting strategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[betting system]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bookmakers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[card games]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[casino]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[gambling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[horseracing]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Sports betting]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.betblogger.net/?p=1334</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[A betting strategy or betting system is a structured approach to gambling intended to counter the inherent bias held by the house in casino and card games and by bookmakers in horseracing and sports betting. A successful strategy should increase the odds of winning in order to produce long term profits from a pursuit which [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-1335" title="Baseball" src="http://www.betblogger.net/wp-content/uploads/2010/01/stud054.png" alt="" width="450" height="313" /></p>
<p>A <strong>betting strategy</strong> or <strong>betting system</strong> is a structured approach  to gambling intended to counter the inherent bias held by the house in casino  and card games and by bookmakers in horseracing and sports betting. A successful  strategy should increase the odds of winning in order to produce long term  profits from a pursuit which under normal circumstances will only ever result in  a long term loss.</p>
<p>All betting systems are predicated on statistical analysis, seeking to  exploit the rare circumstances when the odds are in the favour of the player.  Though the basis of all risk is fundamentally the same, betting systems vary in  relation to the rules and circumstances of each particular game. The most  established betting systems include:</p>
<ul>
<li><a title="Card game" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Card_game">Card  	games</a> &#8211; 	<a title="Card counting" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Card_counting"> Card counting</a></li>
<li><a title="Roulette" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roulette"> Roulette</a> &#8211; 	<a title="Martingale (roulette system)" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Martingale_%28roulette_system%2529"> Martingale</a></li>
<li> <a title="Horse racing" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Horse_racing"> Horse racing</a> &#8211; Hedging, Arbitrage</li>
<li><a title="Sport" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sport">Sports</a> &#8211; 	<a title="Handicapping" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Handicapping"> Handicapping</a><sup title="This claim needs references to reliable sources from October 2007">[<em><a title="Wikipedia:Citation needed" href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wikipedia:Citation_needed">citation  	needed</a></em>]</sup></li>
</ul>
<h2>Links</h2>
<ul>
<li> <a rel="nofollow" href="http://wizardofodds.com/gambling/bettingsystems.html"> The Truth About Betting Systems from Wizard of Odds</a></li>
</ul>
<p>This article is licensed under the <a href="http://www.gnu.org/copyleft/fdl.html">GNU Free Documentation License</a>.  It uses material from the <a href="http://www.wikipedia.org/">Wikipedia</a>.</p>
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