Archive for the ‘Famous wagers’ Category

  • The proposed second Simon-Ehrlich wager

    Friday, July 30th, 2010

    Understanding that Simon wanted to bet again, Ehrlich and climatologist Stephen Schneider counter-offered, challenging Simon to bet on 15 current trends, betting $1000 that each will get worse (as in the previous wager) over a ten year future period. The trends they bet would continue to worsen were: The three years 2002–2004 will on average [...]

  • Why Ehrlich lost in Simon-Ehrlich wager

    Friday, May 14th, 2010

    According to Paul Ehrlich’s website: In 1980, Julian Simon repeatedly challenged environmental scientists to bet against him on trends in prices of commodities, asserting that humanity would never run out of anything… Paul and the other scientists knew that the five metals in the proposed wager were not critical indicators and said so at the [...]

  • Simon-Ehrlich wager

    Tuesday, March 30th, 2010

    Julian L. Simon and Paul Ehrlich entered in a famous wager in 1980, betting on a mutually agreed upon measure of resource scarcity over the decade leading up to 1990. Simon had Ehrlich choose five of several commodity metals. Ehrlich chose 5 metals: copper, chromium, nickel, tin, and tungsten. Simon bet that their prices would [...]

  • Precedent and legacy of the Simon-Ehrlich wager

    Thursday, March 18th, 2010

    This bet is admitted by both parties to be a good-natured resurrection of the same spirit and tradition behind the famous Simon-Ehrlich wager which spanned the years 1980-1990. Tierney was a life-long friend and protégé of the late Julian Simon (the winner of the Simon-Ehrlich wager), and eagerly embraced the opportunity to follow in his [...]

  • Simmons–Tierney bet

    Monday, February 22nd, 2010

    The Simmons-Tierney bet is a bet made in August 2005 between Houston banking executive Matthew R. Simmons and New York Times columnist John Tierney.[1] The stakes of the bet are US$10,000.00. The subject of the bet is the year-end average of the daily price-per-barrel of crude oil for the entire calendar year of 2010. The [...]

  • Carr–Benkler wager

    Monday, January 25th, 2010

    Yochai Benkler speaking at UC Berkeley Boalt Hall School of law on 27 April 2006. Nicholas Carr speaking at the VINT Symposium held in Utrecht, Netherlands on June 17, 2008. The Carr-Benkler wager is between Yochai Benkler and Nicholas Carr about whether the most influential sites on the Internet will be peer-produced or price-incentivized systems. [...]