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The proposed second Simon-Ehrlich wager
Friday, July 30th, 2010
Understanding that Simon wanted to bet again, Ehrlich and climatologist Stephen Schneider counter-offered, challenging Simon to bet on 15 current trends, betting $1000 that each will get worse (as in the previous wager) over a ten year future period. The trends they bet would continue to worsen were: The three years 2002–2004 will on average [...]
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Why Ehrlich lost in Simon-Ehrlich wager
Friday, May 14th, 2010
According to Paul Ehrlich’s website: In 1980, Julian Simon repeatedly challenged environmental scientists to bet against him on trends in prices of commodities, asserting that humanity would never run out of anything… Paul and the other scientists knew that the five metals in the proposed wager were not critical indicators and said so at the [...]
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Simon-Ehrlich wager
Tuesday, March 30th, 2010
Julian L. Simon and Paul Ehrlich entered in a famous wager in 1980, betting on a mutually agreed upon measure of resource scarcity over the decade leading up to 1990. Simon had Ehrlich choose five of several commodity metals. Ehrlich chose 5 metals: copper, chromium, nickel, tin, and tungsten. Simon bet that their prices would [...]
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Precedent and legacy of the Simon-Ehrlich wager
Thursday, March 18th, 2010
This bet is admitted by both parties to be a good-natured resurrection of the same spirit and tradition behind the famous Simon-Ehrlich wager which spanned the years 1980-1990. Tierney was a life-long friend and protégé of the late Julian Simon (the winner of the Simon-Ehrlich wager), and eagerly embraced the opportunity to follow in his [...]
